Today / USA - NWSL / Orlando Pride W vs Boston Legacy W

Orlando Pride W vs Boston Legacy W Prediction— USA - NWSL

Group Stage ·Wednesday, July 15, 2026, 23:00

Orlando Pride W

PPG 1.86 · HOME

UPCOMING

Boston Legacy W

PPG 0.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.86) vs P(Home)=57.2%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.2%0-15.3%0-22.3%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-011.9%1-110.2%1-24.4%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.5%2-19.8%2-24.2%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-07.4%3-16.3%3-22.7%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-05.5%4+-14.7%4+-22.0%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.2% — — —

Draw 22.7% — — —

Away win 20.1% — — —

Over 2.5 54.1% — — —

Over 3.5 33.2% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 56.8% — — —

Away O1.5 22.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -1.5%

Bet Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 41%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.6%

H 57% / xG 1.9-0.9 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%

#2 2–0 11.5%

#3 1–0 11.9%

#4 2–1 9.8%

#5 0–0 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Orlando Pride W1.9

Boston Legacy W0.9

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.1% · O3.5 PROB 33.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ORLANDO PRIDE W · PPG 1.86

BOSTON LEGACY W · PPG 0.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.86) vs P(Home)=57.2%

Win probability 1X2

Orlando Pride W (H) 57.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Boston Legacy W (A) 20.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Orlando Pride W face Boston Legacy W in USA - NWSL on Wednesday, July 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Orlando Pride W a 57% chance, the draw 23% and Boston Legacy W 20%, so Orlando Pride W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Orlando Pride W and 0.9 for Boston Legacy W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Orlando Pride W are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 0.40 for Boston Legacy W.

Orlando Pride W vs Boston Legacy W Prediction— USA - NWSL

Match Preview & Prediction

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