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San Diego W. W vs Angel City W Prediction— USA - NWSL

Group Stage ·Sunday, July 12, 2026, 00:45

San Diego W. W

PPG 1.71 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Angel City W

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.1%0-18.3%0-23.8%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-013.5%1-112.3%1-25.6%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.0%2-19.2%2-24.2%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-05.0%3-14.5%3-22.1%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-12.3%4+-21.1%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.2% 54.1% 1.85 -9.0%

Draw 27.1% 29.4% 3.40 -4.7%

Away win 23.7% 27.0% 3.70 -7.4%

Over 2.5 49.9% 54.1% 1.85 -7.7%

Over 3.5 28.8% 31.3% 3.20 -4.7%

BTTS 52.6% 58.8% 1.70 -10.6%

Home O1.5 45.2% 52.6% 1.90 -14.1%

Away O1.5 23.7% 33.3% 3.00 -17.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -6.6%

Bet Hit 59%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 24%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.6%

H 49% / xG 1.5-0.9 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 1–0 13.5%

#3 0–0 9.1%

#4 2–0 10.0%

#5 2–1 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

San Diego W. W1.5

Angel City W0.9

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SAN DIEGO W. W · PPG 1.71

ANGEL CITY W · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.71) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

San Diego W. W (H) 49.2%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -9.0%

Draw 27.1%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -4.7%

Angel City W (A) 23.7%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -7.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

San Diego W. W face Angel City W in USA - NWSL on Sunday, July 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives San Diego W. W a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Angel City W 24%, so San Diego W. W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for San Diego W. W and 0.9 for Angel City W (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, San Diego W. W are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.00 for Angel City W. This match finished 0-2.

San Diego W. W vs Angel City W Prediction— USA - NWSL

Match Preview & Prediction

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