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Jaro vs Inter Turku Prediction— Finland - Veikkausliiga

Regular Season - 16 ·Sunday, July 19, 2026, 15:30

Jaro

PPG 1.29 · HOME

UPCOMING

Inter Turku

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.5% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.5%0-111.6%0-210.4%0-36.2%0-4+4.2%1 1-06.1%1-111.0%1-29.8%1-35.9%1-4+3.9%2 2-02.9%2-15.2%2-24.7%2-32.8%2-4+1.9%3 3-00.9%3-11.6%3-21.5%3-30.9%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.5%4+-20.4%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.1% 18.2% 5.50 +12.9%

Draw 23.0% 25.0% 4.00 -4.8%

Away win 54.9% 65.8% 1.52 -16.6%

Over 2.5 55.1% 58.8% 1.70 -6.3%

Over 3.5 34.6% 36.4% 2.75 -4.9%

BTTS 55.5% 57.8% 1.73 -4.0%

Home O1.5 34.5% 26.7% 3.75 +29.4%

Away O1.5 50.2% 63.7% 1.57 -21.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 36%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -5.9%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 42%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob55.5%

A 55% / xG 0.9-1.8 / O2.5 55% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 0–2 10.4%

#3 0–1 11.6%

#4 1–2 9.8%

#5 0–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jaro0.9

Inter Turku1.8

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 55.1% · O3.5 PROB 34.6%

Form & verdict PPG

JARO · PPG 1.29

INTER TURKU · PPG 2.00

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.29)

Win probability 1X2

Jaro (H) 22.1%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV +12.9%

Draw 23.0%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -4.8%

Inter Turku (A) 54.9%

ODDS 1.52 · IMPLIED 65.8% EV -16.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Jaro face Inter Turku in Finland - Veikkausliiga on Sunday, July 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jaro a 22% chance, the draw 23% and Inter Turku 55%, so Inter Turku are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Jaro and 1.8 for Inter Turku (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jaro are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 2.00 for Inter Turku. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +29.4%.

Jaro vs Inter Turku Prediction— Finland - Veikkausliiga

Match Preview & Prediction

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