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Levadia vs Tammeka Prediction— Estonia - Meistriliiga

Sunday, July 19, 2026

Levadia

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Tammeka

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-12.1%0-20.8%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-08.0%1-15.9%1-22.1%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.4%2-18.3%2-23.0%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-010.7%3-17.8%3-22.9%3-30.7%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-015.2%4+-111.1%4+-24.1%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 67.3% — — —

Draw 17.5% — — —

Away win 15.2% — — —

Over 2.5 66.5% — — —

Over 3.5 42.3% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 76.2% — — —

Away O1.5 21.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 66%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 34%

ROI -11.9%

Bet Hit 59%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 60%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob52.6%

H 67% / xG 2.8-0.7 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.4%

#2 3–0 10.7%

#3 2–1 8.3%

#4 3–1 7.8%

#5 4–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Levadia2.8

Tammeka0.7

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.5% · O3.5 PROB 42.3%

Form & verdict PPG

LEVADIA · PPG 2.00

TAMMEKA · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

Levadia (H) 67.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Tammeka (A) 15.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Levadia face Tammeka in Estonia - Meistriliiga on Sunday, July 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Levadia a 67% chance, the draw 18% and Tammeka 15%, so Levadia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Levadia and 0.7 for Tammeka (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Levadia are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.25 for Tammeka.

Levadia vs Tammeka Prediction— Estonia - Meistriliiga

Match Preview & Prediction

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