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Bucheon FC vs Seoul Prediction— South Korea - K League 1

Regular Season - 18 ·Sunday, July 19, 2026, 10:30

Bucheon FC

PPG 0.88 · HOME

UPCOMING

Seoul

PPG 2.44 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.3%0-119.1%0-212.7%0-35.7%0-4+2.5%1 1-08.7%1-111.7%1-27.8%1-33.5%1-4+1.5%2 2-02.7%2-13.6%2-22.4%2-31.1%2-4+0.5%3 3-00.5%3-10.7%3-20.5%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.0% 20.0% 5.00 +12.0%

Draw 29.2% 29.0% 3.45 +0.4%

Away win 46.8% 57.8% 1.73 -19.0%

Over 2.5 40.1% 45.5% 2.20 -11.8%

Over 3.5 21.3% 23.8% 4.20 -6.3%

BTTS 47.5% 50.0% 2.00 -5.0%

Home O1.5 33.3% 23.1% 4.33 +44.2%

Away O1.5 38.4% 51.3% 1.95 -25.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 13 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 31%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 69%

ROI -16.0%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 37%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob47.5%

A 47% / xG 0.6-1.3 / U2.5 40% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 19.1%

#2 0–0 14.3%

#3 1–1 11.7%

#4 0–2 12.7%

#5 1–2 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bucheon FC0.6

Seoul1.3

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 40.1% · O3.5 PROB 21.3%

Form & verdict PPG

BUCHEON FC · PPG 0.88

SEOUL · PPG 2.44

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.44) vs Home POOR (0.88)

Win probability 1X2

Bucheon FC (H) 24.0%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +12.0%

Draw 29.2%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV +0.4%

Seoul (A) 46.8%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV -19.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bucheon FC face Seoul in South Korea - K League 1 on Sunday, July 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bucheon FC a 24% chance, the draw 29% and Seoul 47%, so Seoul are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Bucheon FC and 1.3 for Seoul (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bucheon FC are averaging 0.88 points per game versus 2.44 for Seoul. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +44.2%.

Bucheon FC vs Seoul Prediction— South Korea - K League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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