Today / Australia - NPL Queensland / Olympic FC vs Brisbane Roar B

Olympic FC vs Brisbane Roar B Prediction— Australia - NPL Queensland

Regular Season - 19 ·Sunday, July 19, 2026, 06:00

Olympic FC

PPG 1.50 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Brisbane Roar B

PPG 0.44 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 67.1% vs bookmaker-implied 80.0%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-12.5%0-22.0%0-31.1%0-4+0.7%1 1-03.8%1-16.3%1-25.2%1-32.9%1-4+1.7%2 2-04.8%2-18.0%2-26.7%2-33.7%2-4+2.2%3 3-04.1%3-16.8%3-25.7%3-33.1%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-04.8%4+-18.0%4+-26.6%4+-33.7%4+-4+2.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.4% 57.1% 1.75 -10.1%

Draw 21.6% 23.8% 4.20 -5.6%

Away win 27.0% 29.0% 3.45 -4.1%

Over 2.5 67.1% 80.0% 1.25 -16.1%

Over 3.5 48.9% 58.8% 1.70 -16.9%

BTTS 66.1% 78.1% 1.28 -15.4%

Home O1.5 63.5% 72.5% 1.38 -12.4%

Away O1.5 50.2% 52.6% 1.90 -4.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -1.9%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 58%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob66.1%

H 51% / xG 2.5-1.7 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.0%

#2 1–1 6.3%

#3 3–1✓ 6.8%

#4 2–2 6.7%

#5 3–2 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Olympic FC2.5

Brisbane Roar B1.7

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.1% · O3.5 PROB 48.9%

Form & verdict PPG

OLYMPIC FC · PPG 1.50

BRISBANE ROAR B · PPG 0.44

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=51.4%

Win probability 1X2

Olympic FC (H) 51.4%

ODDS 1.75 · IMPLIED 57.1% EV -10.1%

Draw 21.6%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -5.6%

Brisbane Roar B (A) 27.0%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -4.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Olympic FC face Brisbane Roar B in Australia - NPL Queensland on Sunday, July 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Olympic FC a 51% chance, the draw 22% and Brisbane Roar B 27%, so Olympic FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Olympic FC and 1.7 for Brisbane Roar B (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Olympic FC are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.44 for Brisbane Roar B. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +0.7%. This match finished 3-1.

Olympic FC vs Brisbane Roar B Prediction— Australia - NPL Queensland

Match Preview & Prediction

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