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Italy - Serie A
Regular Season - 33
Stadio Giovanni Zini· Cremona
Sunday, April 19, 2026
10:30
Cremonese
PPG 0.80
0-0
HIT CS5
Torino
PPG 1.00
Home· +13.4%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
40.8%
Odds: 2.78
EV: +13.4%
Draw
26.7%
Odds: 3.05
EV: -18.6%
Away
32.4%
Odds: 2.62
EV: -15.1%
Model lean:
BTTS
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
46.1%
Odds: 2.20
+1.4%
Over 3.5
24.7%
Odds: 4.20
+3.7%
BTTS
51.1%
Odds: 1.85
-5.5%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
1-0
✘
3rd
0-1
✘
4th
2-1
✘
5th
0-0
✔
Expected Goals (xG)
Cremonese
1.35
Torino
1.17
Model Suggestion
BTTS
-5.5%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans BTTS, but EV is -5.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Home (+13.4%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED
Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.80), Away AVERAGE (1.00)