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Italy - Serie A logo Italy flag Italy - Serie A Regular Season - 33 Stadio Giovanni Zini· Cremona Sunday, April 19, 2026 10:30
Cremonese logo Cremonese PPG 0.80
0-0 HIT CS5
Torino logo Torino PPG 1.00
Home· +13.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 40.8%
Odds: 2.78 EV: +13.4%
Draw 26.7%
Odds: 3.05 EV: -18.6%
Away 32.4%
Odds: 2.62 EV: -15.1%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.1% Odds: 2.20 +1.4%
Over 3.5 24.7% Odds: 4.20 +3.7%
BTTS 51.1% Odds: 1.85 -5.5%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 0-1
4th 2-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Cremonese
1.35
Torino
1.17

Model Suggestion

BTTS -5.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -5.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+13.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.80), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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