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Tenerife B vs CD Coria Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 logo Spain flag Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 Group 5 - 32 Ciudad Deportiva de Geneto· San Cristóbal de La Laguna (Tenerife) Sunday, April 19, 2026 10:00
Tenerife B logo Tenerife B PPG 1.27
4-0 MISS
CD Coria logo CD Coria PPG 1.27
Over2.5· +8.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Tenerife B face CD Coria in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tenerife B a 46% chance, the draw 22% and CD Coria 32%, so Tenerife B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Tenerife B and 1.5 for CD Coria (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tenerife B are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 1.27 for CD Coria. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +8.7%. This match finished 4-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.5%
Odds: 2.05 EV: -6.7%
Draw 22.4%
Odds: 3.40 EV: -23.8%
Away 32.1%
Odds: 3.00 EV: -3.7%
Model lean: BTTS
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 65.9% Odds: 1.65 +8.7%
Over 3.5 44.1% Odds: —
BTTS 66.3% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 2-2
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Tenerife B
1.86
CD Coria
1.54

Model Suggestion

BTTS ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.

League Track Record

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%
O2.5/Under 45%
BTTS/No 50%
Score Hit 55%
ROI -32.6%
Bet Hit 43% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.27), Away AVERAGE (1.27)

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