Today / Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 / Tenerife B vs CD Coria

Tenerife B vs CD Coria Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Group 5 - 32 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 10:00

Tenerife B

PPG 1.27 · HOME

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

CD Coria

PPG 1.27 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.27), Away AVERAGE (1.27)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-15.1%0-24.0%0-32.0%0-4+1.1%1 1-06.2%1-19.6%1-27.4%1-33.8%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.8%2-18.9%2-26.8%2-33.5%2-4+1.9%3 3-03.6%3-15.5%3-24.2%3-32.2%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-13.9%4+-23.0%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.5% 48.8% 2.05 -6.7%

Draw 22.4% 29.4% 3.40 -23.8%

Away win 32.1% 33.3% 3.00 -3.7%

Over 2.5 65.9% 60.6% 1.65 +8.7%

Over 3.5 44.1% — — —

BTTS 66.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -7.1%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob66.3%

H 46% / xG 1.9-1.5 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.6%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 1–2 7.4%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 1–0 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tenerife B1.9

CD Coria1.5

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.9% · O3.5 PROB 44.1%

Form & verdict PPG

TENERIFE B · PPG 1.27

CD CORIA · PPG 1.27

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.27), Away AVERAGE (1.27)

Win probability 1X2

Tenerife B (H) 45.5%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -6.7%

Draw 22.4%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -23.8%

CD Coria (A) 32.1%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -3.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Tenerife B face CD Coria in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tenerife B a 46% chance, the draw 22% and CD Coria 32%, so Tenerife B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Tenerife B and 1.5 for CD Coria (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tenerife B are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 1.27 for CD Coria. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +8.7%. This match finished 4-0.

Tenerife B vs CD Coria Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Match Preview & Prediction

More Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 Predictions