Socuellamos vs Fuenlabrada Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 Group 5 - 32 Estadio Paquito Jiménez· Socuéllamos Sunday, April 19, 2026 10:00

Socuellamos PPG 1.13

2-3 MISS

Fuenlabrada PPG 0.87

Home· +26.5% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Socuellamos face Fuenlabrada in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Socuellamos a 41% chance, the draw 28% and Fuenlabrada 32%, so Socuellamos are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Socuellamos and 1.1 for Fuenlabrada (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Socuellamos are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 0.87 for Fuenlabrada. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +26.5%. This match finished 2-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 40.8%

Odds: 3.10 EV: +26.5%

Draw 27.5%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -12.0%

Away 31.7%

Odds: 2.05 EV: -35.0%

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 43.1% Odds: 1.90 -18.1%

Over 3.5 22.2% Odds: — —

BTTS 48.6% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Socuellamos

1.29

Fuenlabrada

1.11

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5/Under 45%

BTTS/No 50%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -32.6%

Bet Hit 43% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.13), Away POOR (0.87)