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Wuhan Three T. vs Shenzhen Prediction— China - Super League

Saturday, July 18, 2026

Wuhan Three T.

PPG 1.14 · HOME

UPCOMING

Shenzhen

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.14) > Away POOR (0.50)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.5%0-15.7%0-23.5%0-31.5%0-4+0.6%1 1-08.4%1-110.4%1-26.5%1-32.7%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.7%2-19.6%2-26.0%2-32.5%2-4+1.0%3 3-04.7%3-15.9%3-23.7%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-14.2%4+-22.6%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.4% — — —

Draw 23.5% — — —

Away win 27.2% — — —

Over 2.5 62.2% — — —

Over 3.5 40.1% — — —

BTTS 62.4% — — —

Home O1.5 56.8% — — —

Away O1.5 37.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 29%

ROI -12.4%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob62.4%

H 49% / xG 1.8-1.2 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.4%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 2–0 7.7%

#4 1–0 8.4%

#5 1–2 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wuhan Three T.1.8

Shenzhen1.3

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.2% · O3.5 PROB 40.1%

Form & verdict PPG

WUHAN THREE T. · PPG 1.14

SHENZHEN · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.14) > Away POOR (0.50)

Win probability 1X2

Wuhan Three T. (H) 49.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Shenzhen (A) 27.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Wuhan Three T. face Shenzhen in China - Super League on Saturday, July 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wuhan Three T. a 49% chance, the draw 24% and Shenzhen 27%, so Wuhan Three T. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Wuhan Three T. and 1.3 for Shenzhen (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wuhan Three T. are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 0.50 for Shenzhen.

Wuhan Three T. vs Shenzhen Prediction— China - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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