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Zhejiang vs Qingdao Hainiu Prediction— China - Super League

Tuesday, July 14, 2026

Zhejiang

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Qingdao Hainiu

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.0%0-16.4%0-24.1%0-31.8%0-4+0.7%1 1-08.6%1-111.0%1-27.1%1-33.0%1-4+1.3%2 2-07.3%2-19.4%2-26.0%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-04.2%3-15.4%3-23.4%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-13.4%4+-22.2%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.8% — — —

Draw 24.6% — — —

Away win 28.6% — — —

Over 2.5 62.9% — — —

Over 3.5 40.1% — — —

BTTS 62.4% — — —

Home O1.5 53.0% — — —

Away O1.5 37.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 27%

ROI -13.7%

Bet Hit 54%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob62.4%

H 47% / xG 1.7-1.3 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 2–0 7.3%

#4 1–2 7.1%

#5 1–0 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zhejiang1.7

Qingdao Hainiu1.3

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.9% · O3.5 PROB 40.1%

Form & verdict PPG

ZHEJIANG · PPG 1.50

QINGDAO HAINIU · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=46.8%

Win probability 1X2

Zhejiang (H) 46.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Qingdao Hainiu (A) 28.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Zhejiang face Qingdao Hainiu in China - Super League on Tuesday, July 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zhejiang a 47% chance, the draw 25% and Qingdao Hainiu 29%, so Zhejiang are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Zhejiang and 1.3 for Qingdao Hainiu (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zhejiang are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.50 for Qingdao Hainiu.

Zhejiang vs Qingdao Hainiu Prediction— China - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

More China - Super League Predictions