Today / China - Super League / Tianjin JT vs Liaoning Tieren

Tianjin JT vs Liaoning Tieren Prediction— China - Super League

Sunday, July 12, 2026

Tianjin JT

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Liaoning Tieren

PPG 0.63 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.63)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.6%0-16.9%0-23.6%0-31.2%0-4+0.4%1 1-011.1%1-111.5%1-26.0%1-32.1%1-4+0.7%2 2-09.3%2-19.7%2-25.0%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-05.2%3-15.4%3-22.8%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-13.3%4+-21.7%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.6% — — —

Draw 24.9% — — —

Away win 23.5% — — —

Over 2.5 54.4% — — —

Over 3.5 34.7% — — —

BTTS 55.6% — — —

Home O1.5 52.5% — — —

Away O1.5 35.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 27%

ROI -13.7%

Bet Hit 54%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 39%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob55.6%

H 52% / xG 1.7-1.0 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 1–0 11.1%

#4 2–0 9.3%

#5 0–0 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tianjin JT1.7

Liaoning Tieren1.0

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.4% · O3.5 PROB 34.7%

Form & verdict PPG

TIANJIN JT · PPG 1.00

LIAONING TIEREN · PPG 0.63

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.63)

Win probability 1X2

Tianjin JT (H) 51.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Liaoning Tieren (A) 23.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Tianjin JT face Liaoning Tieren in China - Super League on Sunday, July 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tianjin JT a 52% chance, the draw 25% and Liaoning Tieren 24%, so Tianjin JT are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Tianjin JT and 1.0 for Liaoning Tieren (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tianjin JT are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.63 for Liaoning Tieren.

Tianjin JT vs Liaoning Tieren Prediction— China - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

More China - Super League Predictions