RSD Alcala PPG 2.20
R. Vallecano B PPG 0.47RSD Alcala face R. Vallecano B in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives RSD Alcala a 75% chance, the draw 17% and R. Vallecano B 9%, so RSD Alcala are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for RSD Alcala and 0.7 for R. Vallecano B (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, RSD Alcala are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 0.47 for R. Vallecano B. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +8.3%. This match finished 3-0.
Based on 20 resolved predictions
Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.20), Away POOR (0.47) - Strong consensus