Intercity PPG 1.60
Quintanar PPG 0.67Intercity face Quintanar in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Intercity a 57% chance, the draw 23% and Quintanar 20%, so Intercity are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Intercity and 0.9 for Quintanar (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Intercity are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 0.67 for Quintanar. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +6.0%. This match finished 1-2.
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.60) vs P(Home)=57.3%