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Intercity vs Quintanar Prediction— Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 logo Spain flag Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 Group 5 - 32 Camp Municipal Antonio Solana· Alicante Sunday, April 19, 2026 10:00
Intercity logo Intercity PPG 1.60
1-2 MISS
Quintanar logo Quintanar PPG 0.67
Home· +6.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Intercity face Quintanar in Spain - Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Intercity a 57% chance, the draw 23% and Quintanar 20%, so Intercity are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Intercity and 0.9 for Quintanar (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Intercity are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 0.67 for Quintanar. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +6.0%. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 57.3%
Odds: 1.85 EV: +6.0%
Draw 23.2%
Odds: 3.20 EV: -25.8%
Away 19.5%
Odds: 3.80 EV: -25.9%
Model lean: Home
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.8% Odds: 2.05 +4.1%
Over 3.5 28.8% Odds: —
BTTS 50.4% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Intercity
1.78
Quintanar
0.93

Model Suggestion

Home +6.0% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.60) vs P(Home)=57.3%

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