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Figueirense vs Volta Redonda Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Sunday, July 12, 2026

Figueirense

PPG 1.17 · HOME

UPCOMING

Volta Redonda

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.0%0-110.2%0-24.0%0-31.1%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.2%1-112.8%1-25.1%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.2%2-18.0%2-23.2%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.3%3-13.4%3-21.3%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.4%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.2% — — —

Draw 28.9% — — —

Away win 23.9% — — —

Over 2.5 45.0% — — —

Over 3.5 25.0% — — —

BTTS 48.4% — — —

Home O1.5 40.0% — — —

Away O1.5 21.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 59%

ROI -47.1%

Bet Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.4%

H 47% / xG 1.3-0.8 / U2.5 45% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 13.0%

#2 1–1 12.8%

#3 1–0 16.2%

#4 2–0 10.2%

#5 0–1 10.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Figueirense1.3

Volta Redonda0.8

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.0% · O3.5 PROB 25.0%

Form & verdict PPG

FIGUEIRENSE · PPG 1.17

VOLTA REDONDA · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.17) > Away POOR (0.50)

Win probability 1X2

Figueirense (H) 47.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Volta Redonda (A) 23.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Figueirense face Volta Redonda in Brazil - Serie C on Sunday, July 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Figueirense a 47% chance, the draw 29% and Volta Redonda 24%, so Figueirense are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Figueirense and 0.8 for Volta Redonda (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Figueirense are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 0.50 for Volta Redonda.

Figueirense vs Volta Redonda Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Match Preview & Prediction

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