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Inter Limeira vs Amazonas Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Regular Season - 14 ·Sunday, July 12, 2026, 14:00

Inter Limeira

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Amazonas

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 54.7% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-16.7%0-22.9%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-012.9%1-111.3%1-25.0%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-011.0%2-19.6%2-24.2%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-06.2%3-15.5%3-22.4%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.9%4+-13.4%4+-21.5%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.7% 59.9% 1.67 -8.6%

Draw 25.4% 30.8% 3.25 -10.5%

Away win 19.9% 19.2% 5.20 +2.1%

Over 2.5 50.2% 45.5% 2.20 +10.4%

Over 3.5 29.2% 23.8% 4.20 +13.6%

BTTS 52.6% 48.8% 2.05 +7.8%

Home O1.5 52.5% 51.3% 1.95 +2.4%

Away O1.5 23.5% 22.2% 4.50 +3.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 63%

ROI -47.6%

Bet Hit 28%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 31%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.6%

H 55% / xG 1.7-0.9 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 1–0 12.9%

#3 2–0 11.0%

#4 2–1 9.6%

#5 0–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Inter Limeira1.7

Amazonas0.9

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.2% · O3.5 PROB 29.2%

Form & verdict PPG

INTER LIMEIRA · PPG 1.00

AMAZONAS · PPG 1.17

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.17)

Win probability 1X2

Inter Limeira (H) 54.7%

ODDS 1.67 · IMPLIED 59.9% EV -8.6%

Draw 25.4%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -10.5%

Amazonas (A) 19.9%

ODDS 5.20 · IMPLIED 19.2% EV +2.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Inter Limeira face Amazonas in Brazil - Serie C on Sunday, July 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Inter Limeira a 55% chance, the draw 25% and Amazonas 20%, so Inter Limeira are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Inter Limeira and 0.9 for Amazonas (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Inter Limeira are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.17 for Amazonas. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +13.6%.

Inter Limeira vs Amazonas Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Match Preview & Prediction

More Brazil - Serie C Predictions