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UD Ibiza vs Sevilla FC B Prediction— Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2 logo Spain flag Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Group 2 - 33 Estadi Municipal de Can Misses· Ibiza Sunday, April 19, 2026 10:00
UD Ibiza logo UD Ibiza PPG 1.63
0-1 MISS
Sevilla FC B logo Sevilla FC B PPG 0.38
Draw· +7.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

UD Ibiza face Sevilla FC B in Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2 on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives UD Ibiza a 70% chance, the draw 23% and Sevilla FC B 6%, so UD Ibiza are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for UD Ibiza and 0.3 for Sevilla FC B (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 28% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 19% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, UD Ibiza are averaging 1.63 points per game versus 0.38 for Sevilla FC B. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +7.6%. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 70.4%
Odds: 1.22 EV: -14.1%
Draw 23.4%
Odds: 4.60 EV: +7.6%
Away 6.1%
Odds: 16.00 EV: -2.4%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 28.2% Odds: 1.85 -47.8%
Over 3.5 11.6% Odds: 3.10 -64.0%
BTTS 19.1% Odds: 2.65 -49.4%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 2-0
3rd 0-0
4th 3-0
5th 1-1

Expected Goals (xG)

UD Ibiza
1.57
Sevilla FC B
0.28

Model Suggestion

Home -14.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -14.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+7.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 59 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%
O2.5/Under 46%
BTTS/No 56%
Score Hit 41%
ROI 65.2%
Bet Hit 69% (13 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.63), Away POOR (0.38) - Strong consensus

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org