Today / Sweden - Allsvenskan / Djurgarden vs Halmstad

Djurgarden vs Halmstad Prediction— Sweden - Allsvenskan

Sunday, July 12, 2026

Djurgarden

PPG 1.17 · HOME

UPCOMING

Halmstad

PPG 0.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.7%0-11.5%0-20.7%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-05.4%1-14.9%1-22.2%1-30.7%1-4+0.2%2 2-08.6%2-17.7%2-23.5%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-09.1%3-18.2%3-23.7%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-015.8%4+-114.2%4+-26.4%4+-31.9%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 65.3% — — —

Draw 16.8% — — —

Away win 17.9% — — —

Over 2.5 68.8% — — —

Over 3.5 49.1% — — —

BTTS 62.3% — — —

Home O1.5 75.9% — — —

Away O1.5 23.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 40%

ROI 2.7%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 75%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob62.3%

H 65% / xG 3.2-0.9 / O2.5 69% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 9.1%

#2 2–0 8.6%

#3 3–1 8.2%

#4 2–1 7.7%

#5 4–0 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Djurgarden3.2

Halmstad0.9

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.8% · O3.5 PROB 49.1%

Form & verdict PPG

DJURGARDEN · PPG 1.17

HALMSTAD · PPG 0.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.17), Away POOR (0.20) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Djurgarden (H) 65.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Halmstad (A) 17.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Djurgarden face Halmstad in Sweden - Allsvenskan on Sunday, July 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Djurgarden a 65% chance, the draw 17% and Halmstad 18%, so Djurgarden are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.2 for Djurgarden and 0.9 for Halmstad (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Djurgarden are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 0.20 for Halmstad.

Djurgarden vs Halmstad Prediction— Sweden - Allsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

More Sweden - Allsvenskan Predictions