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Brommapojkarna vs GAIS Prediction— Sweden - Allsvenskan

Regular Season - 11 ·Monday, July 6, 2026, 17:00

Brommapojkarna

PPG 1.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

GAIS

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.8% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.6%0-110.0%0-25.8%0-32.3%0-4+0.9%1 1-011.1%1-112.9%1-27.5%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.1%2-18.3%2-24.8%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-03.1%3-13.6%3-22.1%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.5%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.6% 32.3% 3.10 +22.8%

Draw 27.0% 29.0% 3.45 -4.1%

Away win 33.4% 45.5% 2.20 -26.5%

Over 2.5 49.7% 54.1% 1.85 -8.1%

Over 3.5 28.8% 32.3% 3.10 -6.4%

BTTS 53.8% 61.7% 1.62 -12.8%

Home O1.5 42.8% 38.5% 2.60 +11.3%

Away O1.5 35.9% 48.8% 2.05 -26.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 35%

ROI 3.0%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 19%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob53.8%

H 40% / xG 1.3-1.2 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–0 8.6%

#3 1–0 11.1%

#4 2–1 8.3%

#5 0–1 10.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brommapojkarna1.3

GAIS1.2

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.7% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

BROMMAPOJKARNA · PPG 1.33

GAIS · PPG 0.80

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.33) > Away POOR (0.80)

Win probability 1X2

Brommapojkarna (H) 39.6%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +22.8%

Draw 27.0%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -4.1%

GAIS (A) 33.4%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -26.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Brommapojkarna face GAIS in Sweden - Allsvenskan on Monday, July 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brommapojkarna a 40% chance, the draw 27% and GAIS 33%, so Brommapojkarna are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Brommapojkarna and 1.2 for GAIS (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brommapojkarna are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.80 for GAIS. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +22.8%.

Brommapojkarna vs GAIS Prediction— Sweden - Allsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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