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Teruel vs Atletico M. B Prediction— Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Group 2 - 33 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 10:00

Teruel

PPG 1.69 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Atletico M. B

PPG 1.53 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.8%0-111.7%0-24.9%0-31.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-015.7%1-113.2%1-25.6%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-08.9%2-17.5%2-23.2%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.4%3-12.8%3-21.2%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.0%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.3% 29.4% 3.40 +43.8%

Draw 30.6% 37.0% 2.70 -17.4%

Away win 27.1% 43.5% 2.30 -37.7%

Over 2.5 31.8% 40.8% 2.45 -22.1%

Over 3.5 14.0% 22.2% 4.50 -37.0%

BTTS 38.7% 51.3% 1.95 -24.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 59 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 25.4%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob38.7%

H 42% / xG 1.1-0.8 / U2.5 32% / NoBTTS 39%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 15.7%

#2 0–0✓ 13.8%

#3 1–1 13.2%

#4 0–1 11.7%

#5 2–0 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Teruel1.1

Atletico M. B0.8

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 31.8% · O3.5 PROB 14.0%

Form & verdict PPG

TERUEL · PPG 1.69

ATLETICO M. B · PPG 1.53

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.69), Away GOOD (1.53)

Win probability 1X2

Teruel (H) 42.3%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +43.8%

Draw 30.6%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -17.4%

Atletico M. B (A) 27.1%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -37.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Teruel face Atletico M. B in Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2 on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Teruel a 42% chance, the draw 31% and Atletico M. B 27%, so Teruel are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Teruel and 0.8 for Atletico M. B (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 32% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 39% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Teruel are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 1.53 for Atletico M. B. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +43.8%. This match finished 0-0.

Teruel vs Atletico M. B Prediction— Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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