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Atletico GO vs Fortaleza Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Regular Season - 17 ·Sunday, July 12, 2026, 21:00

Atletico GO

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Fortaleza

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.9%0-111.4%0-25.5%0-31.8%0-4+0.5%1 1-013.9%1-113.4%1-26.4%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.1%2-17.8%2-23.8%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-03.1%3-13.0%3-21.5%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.1%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.5% — — —

Draw 29.3% — — —

Away win 30.2% — — —

Over 2.5 47.2% — — —

Over 3.5 27.2% — — —

BTTS 48.4% — — —

Home O1.5 35.9% — — —

Away O1.5 30.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 86 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 55%

ROI 65.3%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 24%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.4%

H 40% / xG 1.2-1.0 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0 11.9%

#3 1–0 13.9%

#4 0–1 11.4%

#5 2–0 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Atletico GO1.2

Fortaleza1.0

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.2% · O3.5 PROB 27.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ATLETICO GO · PPG 1.50

FORTALEZA · PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away AVERAGE (1.13)

Win probability 1X2

Atletico GO (H) 40.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Fortaleza (A) 30.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Atletico GO face Fortaleza in Brazil - Serie B on Sunday, July 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Atletico GO a 41% chance, the draw 29% and Fortaleza 30%, so Atletico GO are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Atletico GO and 1.0 for Fortaleza (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Atletico GO are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.13 for Fortaleza.

Atletico GO vs Fortaleza Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

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