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KFUM Oslo vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction— Norway - Eliteserien

Matchday 13 ·Sunday, July 12, 2026, 12:30

KFUM Oslo

PPG 1.67 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWDL

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Bodo/Glimt

PPG 1.83 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWWW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.6% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.1%0-110.3%0-28.7%0-34.9%0-4+3.0%1 1-06.8%1-111.4%1-29.6%1-35.4%1-4+3.3%2 2-03.7%2-16.3%2-25.3%2-33.0%2-4+1.9%3 3-01.4%3-12.3%3-22.0%3-31.1%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.8%4+-20.7%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.5% 18.5% 5.40 +32.3%

Draw 25.8% 23.1% 4.33 +7.0%

Away win 45.7% 65.4% 1.53 -30.1%

Over 2.5 55.5% 67.6% 1.48 -17.9%

Over 3.5 34.7% 45.5% 2.20 -23.7%

BTTS 55.6% 65.4% 1.53 -14.9%

Home O1.5 35.9% 34.5% 2.90 +4.1%

Away O1.5 50.2% 69.0% 1.45 -27.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 90 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 6.2%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob55.6%

A 46% / xG 1.1-1.7 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 1–2 9.6%

#3 0–2✓ 8.7%

#4 0–1 10.3%

#5 0–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

KFUM Oslo1.1

Bodo/Glimt1.7

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 55.5% · O3.5 PROB 34.7%

Form & verdict PPG

KFUM OSLO · PPG 1.67

BODO/GLIMT · PPG 1.83

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.67), Away GOOD (1.83)

Win probability 1X2

KFUM Oslo (H) 28.5%

ODDS 5.40 · IMPLIED 18.5% EV +32.3%

Draw 25.8%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV +7.0%

Bodo/Glimt (A) 45.7%

ODDS 1.53 · IMPLIED 65.4% EV -30.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

KFUM Oslo face Bodo/Glimt in Norway - Eliteserien on Sunday, July 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives KFUM Oslo a 28% chance, the draw 26% and Bodo/Glimt 46%, so Bodo/Glimt are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for KFUM Oslo and 1.7 for Bodo/Glimt (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, KFUM Oslo are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.83 for Bodo/Glimt. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +32.3%. This match finished 0-2.

KFUM Oslo vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction— Norway - Eliteserien

Match Preview & Prediction

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