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Angel City W vs NJ/NY Gotham FC W Prediction— USA - NWSL

Group Stage ·Monday, August 24, 2026, 00:00

Angel City W

PPG 1.30 · HOME

LAST 5

DDDLW

0 – 0

FULL TIME

NJ/NY Gotham FC W

PPG 2.11 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWDD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.7%0-113.2%0-26.8%0-32.4%0-4+0.8%1 1-013.0%1-113.5%1-27.0%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-06.7%2-16.9%2-23.6%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.3%3-12.4%3-21.2%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.8%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.3% 30.3% 3.30 +19.8%

Draw 27.7% 30.3% 3.30 -5.1%

Away win 35.9% 48.8% 2.05 -26.4%

Over 2.5 43.1% 51.3% 1.95 -16.0%

Over 3.5 20.7% 29.0% 3.45 -17.2%

BTTS 48.0% 57.1% 1.75 -16.0%

Home O1.5 30.9% 34.5% 2.90 -10.4%

Away O1.5 32.6% 47.6% 2.10 -31.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -6.6%

Bet Hit 54%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.0%

H 36% / xG 1.0-1.0 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 1–0 13.0%

#3 0–1 13.2%

#4 0–0✓ 12.7%

#5 2–1 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Angel City W1.0

NJ/NY Gotham FC W1.0

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.1% · O3.5 PROB 20.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ANGEL CITY W · PPG 1.30

NJ/NY GOTHAM FC W · PPG 2.11

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.01, combined xG 2.06 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Angel City W (H) 36.3%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV +19.8%

Draw 27.7%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -5.1%

NJ/NY Gotham FC W (A) 35.9%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -26.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Angel City W face NJ/NY Gotham FC W in USA - NWSL on Monday, August 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Angel City W a 36% chance, the draw 28% and NJ/NY Gotham FC W 36%, so Angel City W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Angel City W and 1.0 for NJ/NY Gotham FC W (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Angel City W are averaging 1.30 points per game versus 2.11 for NJ/NY Gotham FC W. This match finished 0-0.

Angel City W vs NJ/NY Gotham FC W Prediction— USA - NWSL

Match Preview & Prediction

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