Today / USA - NWSL / Orlando Pride W vs Utah Royals W

Orlando Pride W vs Utah Royals W Prediction— USA - NWSL

Group Stage ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 23:00

Orlando Pride W

PPG 1.60 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLWL

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Utah Royals W

PPG 1.36 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLWLW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 60.8% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-17.7%0-25.8%0-32.9%0-4+1.5%1 1-07.6%1-111.3%1-28.5%1-34.2%1-4+2.2%2 2-05.6%2-18.3%2-26.2%2-33.1%2-4+1.6%3 3-02.7%3-14.1%3-23.1%3-31.5%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-12.1%4+-21.6%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.0% 40.0% 2.50 -2.5%

Draw 24.4% 32.3% 3.10 -14.6%

Away win 36.5% 40.8% 2.45 -10.6%

Over 2.5 59.7% 58.8% 1.70 +1.5%

Over 3.5 36.7% 38.2% 2.62 -3.9%

BTTS 60.8% 63.7% 1.57 -4.5%

Home O1.5 40.1% 44.4% 2.25 -9.8%

Away O1.5 41.9% 47.6% 2.10 -12.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -6.6%

Bet Hit 54%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob60.8%

H 39% / xG 1.5-1.5 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 2–1 8.3%

#3 1–2✓ 8.5%

#4 1–0 7.6%

#5 2–0 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Orlando Pride W1.5

Utah Royals W1.5

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ORLANDO PRIDE W · PPG 1.60

UTAH ROYALS W · PPG 1.36

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.03 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Orlando Pride W (H) 39.0%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -2.5%

Draw 24.4%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -14.6%

Utah Royals W (A) 36.5%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -10.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Orlando Pride W face Utah Royals W in USA - NWSL on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Orlando Pride W a 39% chance, the draw 24% and Utah Royals W 37%, so Orlando Pride W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Orlando Pride W and 1.5 for Utah Royals W (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Orlando Pride W are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.36 for Utah Royals W. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +1.5%. This match finished 1-2.

Orlando Pride W vs Utah Royals W Prediction— USA - NWSL

Match Preview & Prediction

More USA - NWSL Predictions