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Inter Milan U20 vs Lecce U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Regular Season - 34 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 09:00

Inter Milan U20

PPG 2.06 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Lecce U20

PPG 1.44 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-12.6%0-22.3%0-31.3%0-4+0.9%1 1-03.6%1-16.4%1-25.6%1-33.3%1-4+2.2%2 2-04.5%2-17.8%2-26.9%2-34.0%2-4+2.6%3 3-03.6%3-16.4%3-25.6%3-33.3%3-4+2.2%4+ 4+-04.0%4+-17.1%4+-26.2%4+-33.6%4+-4+2.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.4% — — —

Draw 19.1% — — —

Away win 27.5% — — —

Over 2.5 79.2% — — —

Over 3.5 60.8% — — —

BTTS 75.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -28.0%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 60%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob75.7%

H 53% / xG 2.5-1.8 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 76%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.8%

#2 2–2 6.9%

#3 3–1 6.4%

#4 1–1 6.4%

#5 3–2 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Inter Milan U202.5

Lecce U201.8

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.2% · O3.5 PROB 60.8%

Form & verdict PPG

INTER MILAN U20 · PPG 2.06

LECCE U20 · PPG 1.44

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.06) > Away AVERAGE (1.44)

Win probability 1X2

Inter Milan U20 (H) 53.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lecce U20 (A) 27.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Inter Milan U20 face Lecce U20 in Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Inter Milan U20 a 53% chance, the draw 19% and Lecce U20 28%, so Inter Milan U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Inter Milan U20 and 1.8 for Lecce U20 (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 76% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Inter Milan U20 are averaging 2.06 points per game versus 1.44 for Lecce U20. This match finished 1-0.

Inter Milan U20 vs Lecce U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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