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Pohang Steelers vs Anyang Prediction— South-Korea - K League 1

Matchday 8 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 07:30

Pohang Steelers

PPG 1.33 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLWD

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Anyang

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLWD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-031.9%0-115.3%0-23.7%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-021.2%1-110.1%1-22.4%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-07.0%2-13.4%2-20.8%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-01.6%3-10.7%3-20.2%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.5% 45.5% 2.20 -24.1%

Draw 42.8% 32.3% 3.10 +32.7%

Away win 22.6% 29.0% 3.45 -22.0%

Over 2.5 10.9% 42.6% 2.35 -74.4%

Over 3.5 2.9% 22.2% 4.50 -87.0%

BTTS 18.5% 51.3% 1.95 -63.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -64.7%

Bet Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob18.5%

H 34% / xG 0.7-0.5 / U2.5 11% / NoBTTS 18%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 31.9%

#2 1–0 21.2%

#3 0–1✓ 15.3%

#4 1–1 10.1%

#5 2–0 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pohang Steelers0.7

Anyang0.5

COMBINED 1.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 10.9% · O3.5 PROB 2.9%

Form & verdict PPG

POHANG STEELERS · PPG 1.33

ANYANG · PPG 0.75

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

Chance this pick lands

43%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.33) > Away POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

Pohang Steelers (H) 34.5%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -24.1%

Draw 42.8%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +32.7%

Anyang (A) 22.6%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -22.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Pohang Steelers face Anyang in South-Korea - K League 1 on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pohang Steelers a 35% chance, the draw 43% and Anyang 23%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.7 for Pohang Steelers and 0.5 for Anyang (1.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 11% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 19% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pohang Steelers are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.75 for Anyang. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +32.7%. This match finished 0-1.

Pohang Steelers vs Anyang Prediction— South-Korea - K League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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