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Hacken vs Hammarby Prediction— Sweden - Allsvenskan

Matchday 10 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 12:00

Hacken

PPG 2.00 · HOME

LAST 5

DLWWL

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Hammarby

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWWL

// Model verdict

BTTS 66% chance

Model probability 61.0% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-17.1%0-25.4%0-32.7%0-4+1.5%1 1-07.1%1-110.9%1-28.3%1-34.2%1-4+2.3%2 2-05.5%2-18.4%2-26.5%2-33.3%2-4+1.8%3 3-02.9%3-14.4%3-23.3%3-31.7%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-12.4%4+-21.8%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.6% 36.4% 2.75 +8.9%

Draw 24.7% 26.3% 3.80 -3.7%

Away win 35.7% 43.5% 2.30 -17.9%

Over 2.5 60.4% 63.7% 1.57 -5.2%

Over 3.5 37.1% 40.8% 2.45 -9.1%

BTTS 61.0% 67.6% 1.48 -9.7%

Home O1.5 45.8% 47.6% 2.10 -3.8%

Away O1.5 45.2% 54.1% 1.85 -16.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 90 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 42%

ROI -9.4%

Bet Hit 54%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob61.0%

H 40% / xG 1.5-1.5 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 2–1 8.4%

#3 1–2 8.3%

#4 2–2 6.5%

#5 0–0 4.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hacken1.5

Hammarby1.5

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.4% · O3.5 PROB 37.1%

Form & verdict PPG

HACKEN · PPG 2.00

HAMMARBY · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

Chance this pick lands

66%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=39.6%

Win probability 1X2

Hacken (H) 39.6%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV +8.9%

Draw 24.7%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -3.7%

Hammarby (A) 35.7%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -17.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hacken face Hammarby in Sweden - Allsvenskan on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hacken a 40% chance, the draw 25% and Hammarby 36%, so Hacken are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Hacken and 1.5 for Hammarby (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hacken are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Hammarby. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +8.9%. This match finished 3-2.

Hacken vs Hammarby Prediction— Sweden - Allsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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