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Sweden - Allsvenskan Sunday, May 31, 2026 12:00 
Hacken PPG 2.00 
Hammarby PPG 1.00
Sweden - Allsvenskan Sunday, May 31, 2026 12:00 Hacken PPG 2.003-2 MISS
Hammarby PPG 1.00Home· +8.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 60.4% Odds: 1.57 -5.2%
Over 3.5 37.1% Odds: 2.45 -9.1%
BTTS 61.0% Odds: 1.48 -9.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 1-2 ✘
4th 2-2 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Hacken 1.55
Hammarby 1.53
Model Suggestion
BTTS -9.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -9.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+8.9%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Home (+8.9%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 21 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 43%
O2.5/Under 76%
BTTS/No 71%
Score Hit 38%
ROI 0.8%
Bet Hit 57% (14 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 66%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=39.6%