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Sweden - Allsvenskan
Regular Season - 10
Stora Valla· Degerfors
Sunday, May 31, 2026
12:00
Degerfors
PPG 0.80
2-2
MISS
Brommapojkarna
PPG 1.67
Away· +29.3%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
66% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
31.8%
Odds: 2.33
EV: -25.9%
Draw
25.1%
Odds: 3.25
EV: -11.1%
Away
43.1%
Odds: 3.00
EV: +29.3%
Model lean:
BTTS
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
54.5%
Odds: 2.00
+9.0%
Over 3.5
32.2%
Odds: 3.55
+14.3%
BTTS
55.3%
Odds: 1.73
-4.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
1-2
✘
3rd
0-0
✘
4th
0-1
✘
5th
0-2
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Degerfors
1.22
Brommapojkarna
1.54
Model Suggestion
BTTS
-4.3%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans BTTS, but EV is -4.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Away (+29.3%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
66%
UPSET_VALUE
Away momentum: GOOD form (1.67) vs Home POOR (0.80)