← Back to picks 
South-Korea - K League 1 Sunday, April 19, 2026 05:00 
Ulsan PPG 1.33 
Gwangju PPG 0.50
South-Korea - K League 1 Sunday, April 19, 2026 05:00 Ulsan PPG 1.335-1 MISS
Gwangju PPG 0.50Home· +24.8% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 59.9% Odds: 1.90 +13.8%
Over 3.5 37.5% Odds: 3.25 +21.9%
BTTS 35.1% Odds: 1.93 -32.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 3-0 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 4-0 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Ulsan 2.62
Gwangju 0.47
Model Suggestion
Home +24.8% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Verdict & Form
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
STRONG_HOME 98%
Home team in AVERAGE form (1.33), Away POOR (0.50) - Strong consensus