Today / China - League One / Shenzhen J. vs Nantong Zhiyun

Shenzhen J. vs Nantong Zhiyun Prediction— China - League One

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, July 4, 2026, 11:00

Shenzhen J.

PPG 2.00 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Nantong Zhiyun

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.7%0-111.4%0-24.4%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.9%1-113.0%1-25.0%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.7%2-17.4%2-22.9%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.7%3-12.8%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.0%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.1% 42.6% 2.35 +6.0%

Draw 28.6% 33.3% 3.00 -8.5%

Away win 26.4% 34.5% 2.90 -14.1%

Over 2.5 44.3% 50.0% 2.00 -11.4%

Over 3.5 26.4% 28.2% 3.55 -3.8%

BTTS 48.5% 57.8% 1.73 -16.1%

Home O1.5 35.2% 43.5% 2.30 -19.0%

Away O1.5 22.5% 37.7% 2.65 -24.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 40%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -66.8%

Bet Hit 18%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.5%

H 45% / xG 1.1-0.8 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 14.7%

#2 1–1 13.0%

#3 1–0 16.9%

#4 2–0 9.7%

#5 0–1 11.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shenzhen J.1.1

Nantong Zhiyun0.8

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.3% · O3.5 PROB 26.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SHENZHEN J. · PPG 2.00

NANTONG ZHIYUN · PPG 0.80

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

95%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=45.1%

Win probability 1X2

Shenzhen J. (H) 45.1%

ODDS 2.35 · IMPLIED 42.6% EV +6.0%

Draw 28.6%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -8.5%

Nantong Zhiyun (A) 26.4%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -14.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Shenzhen J. face Nantong Zhiyun in China - League One on Saturday, July 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shenzhen J. a 45% chance, the draw 29% and Nantong Zhiyun 26%, so Shenzhen J. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Shenzhen J. and 0.8 for Nantong Zhiyun (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shenzhen J. are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.80 for Nantong Zhiyun. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +6.0%. This match finished 0-0.

Shenzhen J. vs Nantong Zhiyun Prediction— China - League One

Match Preview & Prediction

More China - League One Predictions