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Bucheon FC vs Jeonbuk Prediction— South-Korea - K League 1

Matchday 14 ·Wednesday, May 13, 2026, 10:30

Bucheon FC

PPG 0.50 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLDL

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Jeonbuk

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWDDW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.0%0-119.9%0-211.0%0-34.1%0-4+1.4%1 1-011.0%1-112.1%1-26.7%1-32.5%1-4+0.9%2 2-03.3%2-13.7%2-22.0%2-30.8%2-4+0.3%3 3-00.7%3-10.8%3-20.4%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.4% 23.8% 4.20 +1.5%

Draw 33.8% 29.0% 3.45 +16.6%

Away win 41.7% 54.6% 1.83 -23.7%

Over 2.5 34.7% 46.5% 2.15 -25.4%

Over 3.5 9.6% 23.8% 4.20 -35.8%

BTTS 45.9% 51.3% 1.95 -10.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -64.7%

Bet Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob45.9%

A 42% / xG 0.6-1.1 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 18.0%

#2 0–1 19.9%

#3 1–1 12.1%

#4 0–2 11.0%

#5 1–0 11.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bucheon FC0.6

Jeonbuk1.1

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.7% · O3.5 PROB 9.6%

Form & verdict PPG

BUCHEON FC · PPG 0.50

JEONBUK · PPG 1.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

Chance this pick lands

46%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.43) vs Home POOR (0.50)

Win probability 1X2

Bucheon FC (H) 24.4%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +1.5%

Draw 33.8%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV +16.6%

Jeonbuk (A) 41.7%

ODDS 1.83 · IMPLIED 54.6% EV -23.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bucheon FC face Jeonbuk in South-Korea - K League 1 on Wednesday, May 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bucheon FC a 24% chance, the draw 34% and Jeonbuk 42%, so Jeonbuk are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Bucheon FC and 1.1 for Jeonbuk (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bucheon FC are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 1.43 for Jeonbuk. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +16.6%. This match finished 0-0.

Bucheon FC vs Jeonbuk Prediction— South-Korea - K League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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