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Armadale vs Perth SC Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Regular Season - 16 ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 07:00

Armadale

PPG 1.43 · HOME

UPCOMING

Perth SC

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.7%0-11.9%0-22.7%0-32.5%0-4+3.4%1 1-01.5%1-14.2%1-25.9%1-35.4%1-4+7.4%2 2-01.7%2-14.6%2-26.4%2-36.0%2-4+8.1%3 3-01.2%3-13.4%3-24.7%3-34.4%3-4+5.9%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-13.1%4+-24.3%4+-34.0%4+-4+5.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 35.3% — —

Draw 21.1% — —

Away win 43.6% — —

Over 2.5 75.6% — —

Over 3.5 52.9% — —

BTTS 68.6% — —

Home Over 1.5 60.6% — —

Away Over 1.5 69.5% — —

League track record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 72%

Score Hit 38%

ROI 10.3%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 62%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)2.8 BTTS prob68.6%

A 44% / xG 2.2-2.8 / O2.5 76% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.4%

#2 2–3 6.0%

#3 1–2 5.9%

#4 1–3 5.4%

#5 1–1 4.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Armadale2.2

Perth SC2.8

COMBINED 5.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 75.6% · O3.5 PROB 52.9%

Form & verdict PPG

ARMADALE · PPG 1.43

PERTH SC · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.43) vs Away GOOD (1.75)

Win probability 1X2

Armadale (H) 35.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Perth SC (A) 43.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Armadale face Perth SC in Australia - Western Australia NPL on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Armadale a 35% chance, the draw 21% and Perth SC 44%, so Perth SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Armadale and 2.8 for Perth SC (5.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Armadale are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 1.75 for Perth SC.

Armadale vs Perth SC Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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