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Perth Glory B vs Stirling Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Regular Season - 16 ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 07:00

Perth Glory B

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Stirling

PPG 1.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 66.3% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-14.3%0-25.1%0-34.0%0-4+4.1%1 1-03.0%1-17.1%1-28.4%1-36.6%1-4+6.8%2 2-02.5%2-15.8%2-26.9%2-35.4%2-4+5.5%3 3-01.3%3-13.2%3-23.7%3-32.9%3-4+3.0%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.9%4+-22.2%4+-31.7%4+-4+1.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 27.1% 3.60 -1.5%

Draw 20.8% 4.00 -10.1%

Away win 52.1% 1.70 -11.4%

Over 2.5 66.3% 1.30 -13.8%

Over 3.5 47.4% 1.73 -18.0%

BTTS 63.8% 1.33 -15.2%

Home Over 1.5 52.6% 2.20 +15.7%

Away Over 1.5 69.5% 1.36 -5.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 72%

Score Hit 38%

ROI 10.3%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 68%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob63.8%

A 52% / xG 1.6-2.4 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.4%

#2 1–1 7.1%

#3 2–2 6.9%

#4 1–3 6.6%

#5 2–1 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Perth Glory B1.6

Stirling2.4

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.3% · O3.5 PROB 47.4%

Form & verdict PPG

PERTH GLORY B · PPG 1.00

STIRLING · PPG 1.86

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

90%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.86) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Perth Glory B (H) 27.1%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -1.5%

Draw 20.8%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -10.1%

Stirling (A) 52.1%

ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV -11.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Perth Glory B face Stirling in Australia - Western Australia NPL on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Perth Glory B a 27% chance, the draw 21% and Stirling 52%, so Stirling are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Perth Glory B and 2.4 for Stirling (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Perth Glory B are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.86 for Stirling. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +15.7%.

Perth Glory B vs Stirling Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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