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Dianella WE vs Sorrento Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Regular Season - 16 ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 09:00

Dianella WE

PPG 1.29 · HOME

UPCOMING

Sorrento

PPG 2.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Caution: Away form (2.17) strong but model favors Home (P=41.9%)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.0%0-17.9%0-25.3%0-32.3%0-4+1.0%1 1-08.9%1-111.8%1-27.8%1-33.5%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.7%2-18.8%2-25.8%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-03.3%3-14.4%3-22.9%3-31.3%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-12.3%4+-21.5%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 41.9% — —

Draw 24.4% — —

Away win 33.7% — —

Over 2.5 54.0% — —

Over 3.5 34.2% — —

BTTS 56.3% — —

Home Over 1.5 43.5% — —

Away Over 1.5 38.9% — —

League track record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 72%

Score Hit 38%

ROI 10.3%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob56.3%

H 42% / xG 1.5-1.3 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 2–1 8.8%

#3 1–2 7.8%

#4 0–0 6.0%

#5 1–0 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dianella WE1.5

Sorrento1.3

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.0% · O3.5 PROB 34.2%

Form & verdict PPG

DIANELLA WE · PPG 1.29

SORRENTO · PPG 2.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ MIXED SIGNALS - Model favors home but form suggests away strength ...

48%

CAUTION_HOME

Caution: Away form (2.17) strong but model favors Home (P=41.9%)

Win probability 1X2

Dianella WE (H) 41.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sorrento (A) 33.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dianella WE face Sorrento in Australia - Western Australia NPL on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dianella WE a 42% chance, the draw 24% and Sorrento 34%, so Dianella WE are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Dianella WE and 1.3 for Sorrento (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dianella WE are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 2.17 for Sorrento.

Dianella WE vs Sorrento Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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