Orlando City vs Houston Dynamo Prediction— USA - Major League Soccer

USA - Major League Soccer Regular Season - 8 Saturday, April 18, 2026 23:30

Orlando City PPG 1.00

0-1 MISS

Houston Dynamo PPG 0.00

Over3.5· +111.3% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

40% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Orlando City face Houston Dynamo in USA - Major League Soccer on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Orlando City a 29% chance, the draw 16% and Houston Dynamo 55%, so Houston Dynamo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Orlando City and 3.8 for Houston Dynamo (6.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-3. There is a 96% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 92% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Orlando City are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.00 for Houston Dynamo. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +111.3%. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 29.3%

Odds: 2.50 EV: -26.8%

Draw 15.8%

Odds: 3.80 EV: -40.0%

Away 55.0%

Odds: 2.46 EV: +35.3%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 96.2% Odds: 1.55 +49.1%

Over 3.5 89.9% Odds: 2.35 +111.3%

BTTS 92.3% Odds: 1.45 +33.8%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-3 ✘

2nd 3-3 ✘

3rd 2-4 ✘

4th 3-4 ✘

5th 2-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Orlando City

2.90

Houston Dynamo

3.77

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +49.1% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+111.3%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 76 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5/Under 61%

BTTS/No 68%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -11.7%

Bet Hit 50% (48 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data