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USA - Major League Soccer logo USA flag USA - Major League Soccer Regular Season - 15 Bank of America Stadium· Charlotte Saturday, May 16, 2026 23:30
Charlotte logo Charlotte PPG 1.57
3-1 HIT CS3
Toronto logo Toronto PPG 1.00
Over3.5· +29.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.8%
Odds: 1.73 EV: -10.4%
Draw 23.9%
Odds: 3.80 EV: -5.5%
Away 24.4%
Odds: 4.35 EV: +3.7%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.65 +5.4%
Over 3.5 49.6% Odds: 2.62 +29.9%
BTTS 62.5% Odds: 1.60 0.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 3-1
4th 2-2
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Charlotte
2.20
Toronto
1.46

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +5.4% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+29.9%)

League Track Record

Based on 76 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5/Under 61%
BTTS/No 68%
Score Hit 41%
ROI -11.7%
Bet Hit 50% (48 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.57) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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