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Cobh Ramblers vs Cork City Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Matchday 22 ·Friday, July 3, 2026, 18:45

Cobh Ramblers

PPG 1.60 · HOME

LAST 5

WLWWD

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Cork City

PPG 2.10 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWDW

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 56.0% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.1%0-117.9%0-213.3%0-36.6%0-4+3.4%1 1-07.6%1-111.3%1-28.4%1-34.1%1-4+2.1%2 2-02.4%2-13.5%2-22.6%2-31.3%2-4+0.7%3 3-00.5%3-10.7%3-20.6%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 18.9% 22.2% 4.50 -9.0%

Draw 25.1% 27.0% 3.70 -4.3%

Away win 56.0% 57.8% 1.73 -3.1%

Over 2.5 49.7% 55.6% 1.80 -10.5%

Over 3.5 28.8% 36.4% 2.75 -12.5%

BTTS 48.5% 59.9% 1.67 -19.0%

Home O1.5 33.5% 29.4% 3.40 +13.9%

Away O1.5 49.8% 57.8% 1.73 -13.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 84 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 10.6%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob48.5%

A 56% / xG 0.6-1.5 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1✓ 17.9%

#2 0–0 12.1%

#3 0–2 13.3%

#4 1–1 11.3%

#5 1–2 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cobh Ramblers0.6

Cork City1.5

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.7% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

COBH RAMBLERS · PPG 1.60

CORK CITY · PPG 2.10

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.60) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.10)

Win probability 1X2

Cobh Ramblers (H) 18.9%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV -9.0%

Draw 25.1%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -4.3%

Cork City (A) 56.0%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV -3.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cobh Ramblers face Cork City in Ireland - First Division on Friday, July 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cobh Ramblers a 19% chance, the draw 25% and Cork City 56%, so Cork City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Cobh Ramblers and 1.5 for Cork City (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cobh Ramblers are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 2.10 for Cork City. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +13.9%. This match finished 0-1.

Cobh Ramblers vs Cork City Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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