Today / Ireland - First Division / Bray Wanderers vs Athlone Town

Bray Wanderers vs Athlone Town Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Regular Season - 22 ·Friday, July 3, 2026, 18:45

Bray Wanderers

PPG 2.20 · HOME

UPCOMING

Athlone Town

PPG 0.70 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 54.5% vs bookmaker-implied 59.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-16.3%0-22.7%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-013.0%1-111.0%1-24.7%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.4%2-19.7%2-24.1%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-06.7%3-15.7%3-22.4%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-04.4%4+-13.7%4+-21.6%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.5% 59.5% 1.68 -8.4%

Draw 24.4% 26.0% 3.85 -3.6%

Away win 21.0% 21.7% 4.60 -2.0%

Over 2.5 54.1% 61.7% 1.62 -12.4%

Over 3.5 33.2% 40.0% 2.50 -17.0%

BTTS 52.8% 62.5% 1.60 -15.5%

Home O1.5 53.6% 61.7% 1.62 -13.2%

Away O1.5 22.5% 33.3% 3.00 -19.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 50 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -24.6%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.8%

H 55% / xG 1.8-0.8 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 2–0 11.4%

#3 1–0 13.0%

#4 2–1 9.7%

#5 0–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bray Wanderers1.8

Athlone Town0.8

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.1% · O3.5 PROB 33.2%

Form & verdict PPG

BRAY WANDERERS · PPG 2.20

ATHLONE TOWN · PPG 0.70

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.20) vs P(Home)=54.5%

Win probability 1X2

Bray Wanderers (H) 54.5%

ODDS 1.68 · IMPLIED 59.5% EV -8.4%

Draw 24.4%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -3.6%

Athlone Town (A) 21.0%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV -2.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bray Wanderers face Athlone Town in Ireland - First Division on Friday, July 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bray Wanderers a 55% chance, the draw 24% and Athlone Town 21%, so Bray Wanderers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Bray Wanderers and 0.8 for Athlone Town (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bray Wanderers are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 0.70 for Athlone Town.

Bray Wanderers vs Athlone Town Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Match Preview & Prediction

More Ireland - First Division Predictions