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USA - Major League Soccer Saturday, April 18, 2026 23:30 
New England PPG 3.00 
Columbus Crew PPG 1.00
USA - Major League Soccer Saturday, April 18, 2026 23:30 New England PPG 3.002-1 HIT CS2
Columbus Crew PPG 1.00Home· +125.4% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 82.4% Odds: 1.80 +48.3%
Over 3.5 65.4% Odds: 3.00 +96.2%
BTTS 65.7% Odds: 1.62 +6.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 3-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✔
3rd 3-0 ✘
4th 4-1 ✘
5th 2-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
New England 3.33
Columbus Crew 1.14
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 +48.3% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Home(+125.4%)
Raw EV leader: Home(+125.4%)
League Track Record ↗
Based on 76 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5/Under 61%
BTTS/No 68%
Score Hit 41%
ROI -11.7%
Bet Hit 50% (48 bets)
Verdict & Form
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
STRONG_HOME 98%
Home team in EXCELLENT form (3.00), Away AVERAGE (1.00) - Strong consensus