Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire Prediction— USA - Major League Soccer

Match Preview & Prediction

Cincinnati face Chicago Fire in USA - Major League Soccer on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cincinnati a 25% chance, the draw 24% and Chicago Fire 50%, so Chicago Fire are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Cincinnati and 1.7 for Chicago Fire (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cincinnati are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.33 for Chicago Fire. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +25.0%. This match finished 3-3.