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Atlanta Utd vs Nashville SC Prediction— USA - Major League Soccer

USA - Major League Soccer logo USA flag USA - Major League Soccer Regular Season - 8 Mercedes-Benz Stadium· Atlanta Saturday, April 18, 2026 23:30
Atlanta Utd logo Atlanta Utd PPG 1.00
0-2 HIT MostLikelyScore
Nashville SC logo Nashville SC PPG 1.75
Away· +59.4% 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Atlanta Utd face Nashville SC in USA - Major League Soccer on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Atlanta Utd a 8% chance, the draw 17% and Nashville SC 75%, so Nashville SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.5 for Atlanta Utd and 2.1 for Nashville SC (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 35% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Atlanta Utd are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.75 for Nashville SC. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +59.4%. This match finished 0-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 7.6%
Odds: 3.25 EV: -75.3%
Draw 17.3%
Odds: 3.45 EV: -40.3%
Away 75.2%
Odds: 2.12 EV: +59.4%
Model lean: Away
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 49.1% Odds: 1.85 -9.2%
Over 3.5 27.2% Odds: 3.25 -11.6%
BTTS 35.2% Odds: 1.70 -40.2%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-2
2nd 0-1
3rd 0-3
4th 1-2
5th 1-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Atlanta Utd
0.51
Nashville SC
2.13

Model Suggestion

Away +59.4% ROI TRACKS: Away
Tracked ROI market: Away.

League Track Record

Based on 76 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5/Under 61%
BTTS/No 68%
Score Hit 41%
ROI -11.7%
Bet Hit 50% (48 bets)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.75) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

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