Today / Brazil - Serie C / Volta Redonda vs Amazonas

Volta Redonda vs Amazonas Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Regular Season - 12 ·Tuesday, June 30, 2026, 23:30

Volta Redonda

PPG 1.83 · HOME

UPCOMING

Amazonas

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.1%0-115.4%0-26.2%0-31.7%0-4+0.4%1 1-016.2%1-113.1%1-25.3%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-06.9%2-15.5%2-22.2%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.0%3-11.6%3-20.6%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.8% 51.3% 1.95 -22.4%

Draw 31.9% 38.5% 2.60 -17.1%

Away win 28.3% 20.0% 5.00 +24.9%

Over 2.5 34.9% 36.4% 2.75 -4.0%

Over 3.5 18.0% 23.1% 4.33 -13.2%

BTTS 46.5% 45.5% 2.20 +2.3%

Home O1.5 33.7% 42.6% 2.35 -20.8%

Away O1.5 22.5% 21.1% 4.75 +4.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 64%

ROI -52.1%

Bet Hit 27%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob46.5%

H 40% / xG 0.8-0.8 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 19.1%

#2 1–1 13.1%

#3 1–0 16.2%

#4 0–1 15.4%

#5 2–0 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Volta Redonda0.8

Amazonas0.8

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.9% · O3.5 PROB 18.0%

Form & verdict PPG

VOLTA REDONDA · PPG 1.83

AMAZONAS · PPG 1.40

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.83) > Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

Volta Redonda (H) 39.8%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -22.4%

Draw 31.9%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -17.1%

Amazonas (A) 28.3%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +24.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Volta Redonda face Amazonas in Brazil - Serie C on Tuesday, June 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Volta Redonda a 40% chance, the draw 32% and Amazonas 28%, so Volta Redonda are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Volta Redonda and 0.8 for Amazonas (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Volta Redonda are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 1.40 for Amazonas. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +24.9%.

Volta Redonda vs Amazonas Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Match Preview & Prediction

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