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Inter Limeira vs Maringa Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Regular Season - 12 ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 14:00

Inter Limeira

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Maringa

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.8% vs bookmaker-implied 56.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-17.8%0-25.3%0-32.4%0-4+1.1%1 1-08.7%1-111.7%1-27.9%1-33.6%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.5%2-18.8%2-25.9%2-32.7%2-4+1.2%3 3-03.2%3-14.4%3-23.0%3-31.3%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-12.3%4+-21.5%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 44.0% 2.33 +2.5%

Draw 24.6% 3.10 -14.2%

Away win 31.4% 2.90 -8.9%

Over 2.5 54.0% 2.05 +10.7%

Over 3.5 32.6% 3.65 +19.0%

BTTS 55.8% 1.77 -1.2%

Home Over 1.5 43.5% 2.35 +2.2%

Away Over 1.5 38.9% 2.75 +7.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 38 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 66%

ROI -44.7%

Bet Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob55.8%

H 44% / xG 1.5-1.4 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 2–1 8.8%

#3 1–2 7.9%

#4 0–0 5.8%

#5 1–0 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Inter Limeira1.5

Maringa1.4

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.0% · O3.5 PROB 32.6%

Form & verdict PPG

INTER LIMEIRA · PPG 1.00

MARINGA · PPG 1.40

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

Inter Limeira (H) 44.0%

ODDS 2.33 · IMPLIED 42.9% EV +2.5%

Draw 24.6%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -14.2%

Maringa (A) 31.4%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -8.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Inter Limeira face Maringa in Brazil - Serie C on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Inter Limeira a 44% chance, the draw 25% and Maringa 31%, so Inter Limeira are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Inter Limeira and 1.4 for Maringa (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Inter Limeira are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.40 for Maringa. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +19.0%.

Inter Limeira vs Maringa Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Match Preview & Prediction

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