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Ypiranga vs Confianca Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Regular Season - 12 ·Sunday, June 28, 2026, 23:30

Ypiranga

PPG 1.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

Confianca

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.7%0-112.1%0-23.7%0-30.8%0-4+0.1%1 1-019.9%1-112.2%1-23.8%1-30.8%1-4+0.1%2 2-010.0%2-16.2%2-21.9%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.4%3-12.1%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-10.6%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 45.1% 1.85 -16.6%

Draw 31.2% 3.10 -3.3%

Away win 23.6% 4.10 -1.9%

Over 2.5 34.9% 2.35 -18.0%

Over 3.5 18.0% 4.33 -13.2%

BTTS 44.2% 2.00 -11.6%

Home Over 1.5 35.5% 2.15 -23.7%

Away Over 1.5 18.0% 3.95 -17.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 61%

ROI -44.7%

Bet Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 40%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob44.2%

H 45% / xG 1.0-0.6 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 19.7%

#2 1–0 19.9%

#3 1–1 12.2%

#4 0–1 12.1%

#5 2–0 10.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ypiranga1.0

Confianca0.6

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.9% · O3.5 PROB 18.0%

Form & verdict PPG

YPIRANGA · PPG 1.60

CONFIANCA · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Ypiranga (H) 45.1%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -16.6%

Draw 31.2%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -3.3%

Confianca (A) 23.6%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -1.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ypiranga face Confianca in Brazil - Serie C on Sunday, June 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ypiranga a 45% chance, the draw 31% and Confianca 24%, so Ypiranga are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Ypiranga and 0.6 for Confianca (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ypiranga are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 0.00 for Confianca.

Ypiranga vs Confianca Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Match Preview & Prediction

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