Cruzeiro vs Gremio Prediction & Tips

Brazil - Serie A Regular Season - 12 Governador Magalhães Pinto· Belo Horizonte Saturday, April 18, 2026 23:30

Cruzeiro PPG 1.50

2-0 HIT CS4

Gremio PPG 0.33

Over3.5· +43.9% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80% confidence

Home 53.4%

Odds: 1.67 EV: -10.8%

Draw 21.8%

Odds: 3.60 EV: -21.5%

Away 24.8%

Odds: 5.20 EV: +29.0%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Home ✔

Over 2.5 63.2% Odds: 2.00 +26.4%

Over 3.5 41.1% Odds: 3.50 +43.9%

BTTS 62.3% Odds: 1.90 +18.4%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✔

5th 3-1 ✘

Cruzeiro

1.97

Gremio

1.29

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +26.4% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+43.9%)

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=53.4%