Deportes Tolima vs D. Pereira Prediction— Colombia - Primera A

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportes Tolima face D. Pereira in Colombia - Primera A on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportes Tolima a 91% chance, the draw 7% and D. Pereira 2%, so Deportes Tolima are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.5 for Deportes Tolima and 0.4 for D. Pereira (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 35% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportes Tolima are averaging 2.38 points per game versus 0.38 for D. Pereira. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +52.9%. This match finished 2-0.