Today / Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 / Stjordals-Blink vs Junkeren

Stjordals-Blink vs Junkeren Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Regular Season - 12 ·Sunday, June 28, 2026, 13:00

Stjordals-Blink

PPG 0.80 · HOME

UPCOMING

Junkeren

PPG 0.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 64.1% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-16.1%0-24.0%0-31.7%0-4+0.7%1 1-08.3%1-110.8%1-27.0%1-33.0%1-4+1.3%2 2-07.3%2-19.4%2-26.1%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-04.3%3-15.5%3-23.6%3-31.5%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-13.6%4+-22.3%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 49.2% 1.62 -20.3%

Draw 23.0% 4.20 -2.0%

Away win 27.8% 4.10 +8.4%

Over 2.5 64.1% 1.36 -12.8%

Over 3.5 39.8% 1.93 -23.2%

BTTS 61.6% 1.38 -15.0%

Home Over 1.5 52.6% 1.42 -25.3%

Away Over 1.5 38.9% 2.30 -10.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 32%

ROI 4.9%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 57%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob61.6%

H 49% / xG 1.8-1.3 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 2–0 7.3%

#4 1–2 7.0%

#5 1–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stjordals-Blink1.8

Junkeren1.3

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.8%

Form & verdict PPG

STJORDALS-BLINK · PPG 0.80

JUNKEREN · PPG 0.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.80), Away POOR (0.60)

Win probability 1X2

Stjordals-Blink (H) 49.2%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV -20.3%

Draw 23.0%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -2.0%

Junkeren (A) 27.8%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +8.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Stjordals-Blink face Junkeren in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Sunday, June 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stjordals-Blink a 49% chance, the draw 23% and Junkeren 28%, so Stjordals-Blink are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Stjordals-Blink and 1.3 for Junkeren (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stjordals-Blink are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 0.60 for Junkeren. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +8.4%.

Stjordals-Blink vs Junkeren Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 Predictions