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Grorud vs Tromsdalen Uil Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Matchday 16 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 15:00

Grorud

PPG 1.86 · HOME

UPCOMING

Tromsdalen Uil

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-15.2%0-22.4%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-010.7%1-110.1%1-24.8%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.5%2-19.9%2-24.7%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-06.9%3-16.5%3-23.1%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-05.3%4+-15.0%4+-22.4%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.4% — — —

Draw 22.5% — — —

Away win 22.1% — — —

Over 2.5 59.5% — — —

Over 3.5 36.5% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 54.6% — — —

Away O1.5 26.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 4.8%

Bet Hit 73%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob54.5%

H 55% / xG 2.0-0.9 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.1%

#2 2–0 10.5%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0 10.7%

#5 0–0 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Grorud2.0

Tromsdalen Uil0.9

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.5%

Form & verdict PPG

GRORUD · PPG 1.86

TROMSDALEN UIL · PPG 1.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.01 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Grorud (H) 55.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Tromsdalen Uil (A) 22.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Grorud face Tromsdalen Uil in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Grorud a 55% chance, the draw 23% and Tromsdalen Uil 22%, so Grorud are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Grorud and 0.9 for Tromsdalen Uil (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Grorud are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 1.43 for Tromsdalen Uil.

Grorud vs Tromsdalen Uil Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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