Today / Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 / Follo vs Levanger

Follo vs Levanger Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Regular Season - 12 ·Sunday, June 28, 2026, 13:00

Follo

PPG 0.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Levanger

PPG 2.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 65.5% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-17.1%0-28.5%0-36.7%0-4+7.0%1 1-03.4%1-18.0%1-29.6%1-37.6%1-4+8.0%2 2-01.9%2-14.5%2-25.4%2-34.3%2-4+4.5%3 3-00.7%3-11.7%3-22.0%3-31.6%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.6%4+-20.7%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 17.8% 4.20 -15.1%

Draw 20.9% 3.95 -10.5%

Away win 61.3% 1.64 +0.5%

Over 2.5 65.5% 1.48 -3.1%

Over 3.5 42.2% 2.20 -7.2%

BTTS 60.5% 1.48 -10.5%

Home Over 1.5 35.5% 2.60 -7.7%

Away Over 1.5 69.5% 1.50 +4.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 32%

ROI 4.9%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 63%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob60.5%

A 61% / xG 1.1-2.4 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.6%

#2 1–1 8.0%

#3 0–2 8.5%

#4 1–3 7.6%

#5 0–3 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Follo1.1

Levanger2.4

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.5% · O3.5 PROB 42.2%

Form & verdict PPG

FOLLO · PPG 0.67

LEVANGER · PPG 2.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs Home POOR (0.67)

Win probability 1X2

Follo (H) 17.8%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -15.1%

Draw 20.9%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV -10.5%

Levanger (A) 61.3%

ODDS 1.64 · IMPLIED 61.0% EV +0.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Follo face Levanger in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Sunday, June 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Follo a 18% chance, the draw 21% and Levanger 61%, so Levanger are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Follo and 2.4 for Levanger (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Follo are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 2.50 for Levanger. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +8.1%.

Follo vs Levanger Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 Predictions