Vitoria vs Corinthians Prediction & Tips

Brazil - Serie A Regular Season - 12 Estádio Manoel Barradas· Salvador Saturday, April 18, 2026 23:00

Vitoria PPG 2.40

0-0 HIT CS2

Corinthians PPG 1.20

Home· +47.9% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

95% confidence

Home 55.8%

Odds: 2.65 EV: +47.9%

Draw 28.5%

Odds: 2.98 EV: -15.1%

Away 15.6%

Odds: 2.80 EV: -56.3%

Model lean: Home

Result: Draw ✘

Over 2.5 29.6% Odds: 2.50 -26.0%

Over 3.5 12.5% Odds: 5.00 -37.5%

BTTS 31.7% Odds: 2.00 -36.6%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✔

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-1 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Vitoria

1.34

Corinthians

0.56

Model SuggestionHome +47.9% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

95%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.40) vs P(Home)=55.8%